Date: 27th September 2014 at 6:21pm
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I propose a model, looking at the relationship between our manager and supporters.

So, we’ve seen some pretty terrible things as Bolton fans recently. It seems, at this point, that no one has faith in Dougie Freedman.

I’ve decided to create a model on looking at how confidence has declined during his tenure. This model is unique to Dougie Freedman and Bolton Wanderers fans. Though, some club’s managers could experience similar patterns but would have probably sacked their manager earlier. So here is the model:

Stage 1: Surprise- DF was somewhat of a surprise candidate, given his lack of experience and Crystal Palace’s position in the table.

Stage 2: Continued Slumber- The manager is not showing any signs of improvement. Fans question his appointment.

Stage 3: Rejuvenation- A few new signings almost find ourselves in the play-offs. Faith is restored.

Stage 4: Return to Slumber- More losses wipe away all confidence from a strong end to the prior season.

Stage 5: Frustration: Fans dislike what they see from their club and seriously question the manager’s ability to turn things around.

Stage 6: Partial Rejuvenation- New signings push Bolton slightly up the league, but still remain in the bottom half of the table.

Stage 7: Return to Slumber- Another poor start to a season sees the club in and around the relegation zone.

Stage 8: No Support- The manager has lost almost all of his support from fans who are protesting against him. Manager knows that he could be running out of time and is questioned by the media.

Stage 9: Stagnation- Nothing seems to be changing for the manager, though he remains in job for now.

So that’s about where I think we’re up to now. There are different directions in which we could be headed.

Option 1: Sacked- Too many poor results spanning over a long period find the board answering the fans’ prayers. DF sacked.

Option 2: Rejuvenation- Once again, DF manages to temporarily turn things around and we could find ourselves repeating the pattern again and again and again.

So, there you have it. That’s what I’ve been thinking about. I think that this is as insecure his job has ever been. A lot of people think that Gartside and co. are going to wait until the end of his contract, but we have seen some surprises by them in the past.

Let me know what you think in the comments.

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10 Replies to “DF-Bolton Fan Model”

  • As Bolton fans, which would you prefer? Dougie sacked, but have no signings in January. Or keep Doug and add to squad in winter? I’m not saying that’s what’s hinging on his firing, but if it was, I know which I’d want. TTFN, Douglas!

  • As I have said before, I would pack his bags and drive him back to Palace or anywhere else really. However I can’t see him going for the reasons I outlined previously. If there is any chance that his tenure will end early then it is now. If he is still there by tomorrow night then all the protests in the world won’t make any difference.

  • As I have said before, I would pack his bags and drive him back to Palace or anywhere else really. However I can’t see him going for the reasons I outlined previously. If there is any chance that his tenure will end early then it is now. If he is still there by tomorrow night then all the protests in the world won’t make any difference.

  • Dougie’s managed to pull a couple of rabbits out of the hat after Christmas for the last couple of years. Whether he makes it that far, this time is a moot point. Personally, I can’t see how the board will let him continue if he/they face constant pressure from the supporters, irrespective of how much it will cost them. He needs to turn it round very quickly now, to save his job. Perhaps if he could get the team to play competently for 80 minutes instead of 20, that would a good starting point. Today, they matched Derby for a significant part of the first half and then as usual allowed the opposition to take control. He has to address that!

  • Freedman is useless and his team is equally useless how do you fix it, you must change the manager, its a tried and tested remedy. The bigger problem is Gartside – he allegedly is directly responsible for appointing Freedman and the 3 failures before him, he cannot be allowed to make the decisions this time around, his position along with Freedman is now untenable , they both have to go. Eddie Davies needs to grow a pair. Next season is our last chance to mount a challenge for promotion we must stop the rot, if things don’t change quickly we are headed for administration and the 1st Division

  • The problem i see the team are not organised players out of positions a manager who doesnt know his best side.what i have seen this season other teams are not that much better but all have been organised and well drilled we are not and thats down to the manager and his staff so in my book he needs to be sacked

  • Aussie Mike is right, Gartside is the problem here. He’s sucking all of the money out of the club and until he goes changing the manager won’t make any difference, he’ll just find another hopeless yes-man to do the job instead.

  • I have maintained for some time that in view of our financial predicament it is highly unlikely DF will be sacked any time soon regardless of his apparent ineptitude. That being said, presumably there has to be a tipping point where weigh survival in the Championship against sticking a couple of million more on the overdraft; essentially a financial decision but also one of pride in terms of league status and being seen as a club which is constantly changing managers. As each poor result / performance comes and goes I am becoming less sure and can see the day of reckoning drawing nearer. Bear in mind that we are 1 game away from Mike’s 10 games test with a meagre 5 points!

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